Every player prop on today's slate โ our projection and the model's win probability next to the posted line, plus last-10 hit rate. โ marks demon / goblin lines. Projections, not graded plays: our own graded board is 51.7% on 1,422 decided picks since our inputs were repaired on 2026-07-28, and 51.6% on 1,887 decided across all 75 graded slates, below the ~54% break-even of the -119 leg the grader prices, and below the 57.7% a two-pick entry has to clear.
Model calibrated on real graded outcomes — see the proof| Player | Team | Matchup | Pick | Proj | Win% | Hit rate (L5/L10/L20/Szn) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvin Rodrรญguez IMP | LOTTE | @ KIWOOM | UNDER Pitcher Strikeouts 6.5 | 5.38 | 5/10 | |
| Park Hae-min ๋ฐํด๋ฏผ | LG | @ SAMSUNG · Ariel Jurado | UNDER Hits+Runs+RBIs 2 | 1.82 | 3/10 | |
| Elvin Rodrรญguez IMP | LOTTE | @ KIWOOM | UNDER Pitching Outs 17.5 | 15.93 | 6/10 | |
| Raul Alcantara ์์นธํ๋ผ IMP | KIWOOM | vs LOTTE | UNDER Pitching Outs 18.5 | 16.93 | 3/10 | |
| Kim Ju-won ๊น์ฃผ์ | NC | @ DOOSAN · Zach Logue | UNDER Hits+Runs+RBIs 2 | 1.85 | 2/10 | |
| Raul Alcantara ์์นธํ๋ผ IMP | KIWOOM | vs LOTTE | UNDER Pitcher Strikeouts 5.5 | 4.9 | 5/10 | |
| Ariel Jurado ํ๋ผ๋ IMP | SAMSUNG | vs LG | UNDER Pitching Outs 18.5 | 17.15 | 4/10 | |
| Koo Chang-mo ๊ตฌ์ฐฝ๋ชจ | NC | @ DOOSAN | UNDER Pitching Outs 17.5 | 16.15 | 4/10 | |
| Raul Alcantara ์์นธํ๋ผ IMP | KIWOOM | vs LOTTE | UNDER Hits Allowed 6 | 5.6 | 4/10 | |
| Davis Daniel ๋๋์ IMP | KT | vs KIA | UNDER Pitcher Strikeouts 5 | 4.62 | 2/5 | |
| Park Seung-kyu ๋ฐ์น๊ท | SAMSUNG | vs LG · Anders Tolhurst | UNDER Hits+Runs+RBIs 2 | 1.93 | 3/10 | |
| Park Jae-hyun ๋ฐ์ฌํ | KIA | @ KT · Davis Daniel | UNDER Hits+Runs+RBIs 2 | 1.99 | 4/10 | |
| James Naile ๋ค์ผ IMP | KIA | @ KT | UNDER Pitching Outs 18.5 | 17.4 | 2/10 | |
| Park Ji-hoon ๋ฐ์งํ | DOOSAN | vs NC · Koo Chang-mo | UNDER Hits+Runs+RBIs 1.5 | 1.52 | 1/8 | |
| Na Sung-bum ๋์ฑ๋ฒ | KIA | @ KT · Davis Daniel | UNDER Hits+Runs+RBIs 2 | 2.09 | 4/10 | |
| Seo Geon-chang ์๊ฑด์ฐฝ | KIWOOM | vs LOTTE · Elvin Rodriguez | UNDER Hits+Runs+RBIs 1.5 | 1.69 | 2/10 | |
| Choo Jae-hyun ์ถ์ฌํ | KIWOOM | vs LOTTE · Elvin Rodriguez | UNDER Hits+Runs+RBIs 1.5 | 1.66 | ||
| Anders Tolhurst ํจํ์คํธ IMP | LG | @ SAMSUNG | UNDER Pitching Outs 17.5 | 16.76 | 7/10 | |
| Koo Ja-wook ๊ตฌ์์ฑ | SAMSUNG | vs LG · Anders Tolhurst | UNDER Hits+Runs+RBIs 2.5 | 2.49 | 4/10 | |
| Koo Chang-mo ๊ตฌ์ฐฝ๋ชจ | NC | @ DOOSAN | UNDER Hits Allowed 5.5 | 5.28 | 8/10 | |
| Yang Eui-ji ์์์ง | DOOSAN | vs NC · Koo Chang-mo | UNDER Hits+Runs+RBIs 1.5 | 1.56 | 2/10 | |
| Park Chan-ho ๋ฐ์ฐฌํธ | DOOSAN | vs NC · Koo Chang-mo | UNDER Hits+Runs+RBIs 1.5 | 1.72 | 3/10 | |
| Anders Tolhurst ํจํ์คํธ IMP | LG | @ SAMSUNG | UNDER Pitcher Strikeouts 4.5 | 4.37 | 6/10 | |
| Hwang Seong-bin ํฉ์ฑ๋น | LOTTE | @ KIWOOM · Raul Alcantara | UNDER Hits+Runs+RBIs 1.5 | 1.82 | 3/10 | |
| Austin Dean ์ค์คํด IMP | LG | @ SAMSUNG · Ariel Jurado | UNDER Hits+Runs+RBIs 2.5 | 2.79 | 4/10 | |
| Zach Logue ์ญ๋ก๊ทธ IMP | DOOSAN | vs NC | UNDER Pitching Outs 17.5 | 17.29 | 7/10 | |
| James Naile ๋ค์ผ IMP | KIA | @ KT | UNDER Hits Allowed 6 | 5.71 | 5/10 | |
| Ariel Jurado ํ๋ผ๋ IMP | SAMSUNG | vs LG | UNDER Hits Allowed 6 | 5.78 | 7/10 |