Every player prop on today's slate — our projection and the model's win probability next to the posted line, plus last-10 hit rate. ★ marks demon / goblin lines. Projections, not graded plays: our own graded board is 51.3% on 1,382 decided picks since our inputs were repaired on 2026-07-28, and 51.4% on 1,849 decided across all 74 graded slates, below the ~54% break-even of the -119 leg the grader prices, and below the 57.7% a two-pick entry has to clear.
Model calibrated on real graded outcomes — see the proof| Player | Team | Matchup | Pick | Proj | Win% | Hit rate (L5/L10/L20/Szn) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No slate yet -- check back before first pitch. | ||||||