Matchups — Who To Target

Each game's probable starters with the props our model rates most likely on both sides. Click a name for the full player breakdown. Projections, not graded plays: our own graded board is 51.6% on 1,402 decided picks since our inputs were repaired on 2026-07-28, and 51.5% on 1,867 decided across all 75 graded slates, below the ~54% break-even of the -119 leg the grader prices, and below the 57.7% a two-pick entry has to clear.